In case you are a keen football punter then without doubt you’ll have sifted through multitudes of online soccer tipping websites to find out what services are out there. Frankly, it’s challenging to avoid misleading terms including ‘sure bet,’ ‘banker,’ ‘dead cert’ or ‘guaranteed winner.’ Many tipsters actually incorporate these terms into the URL of their sites with the hope of increasing the number of sign ups. As a punter and tipster this hugely frustrates me. Without opening up the cans of worms that are the laws of mathematics and statistics, the basic indisputable simple truth is that there is no such thing as being a sure outcome in soccer, or sport. If a dead cert outcome did exist there would be no bookmakers running a business to cover our bets. Sometimes I read the introductory few paragraphs which insist that the Vegus168 possesses an exclusive secret way of picking guaranteed winners. I believe that it should be illegal to make such misleading claims.
Having greater than twenty years of trials and tribulations as a football or ‘soccer’ punter, I can categorically let you know that the complete perception of a dead cert is not merely false, but is within itself a contradiction. When the result of a specific soccer match was a guarantee, then surely there would be no need for the teams to perform battle for ninety minutes. Also, bookmakers will be clinically insane to protect bets on a game whose result had been a certainty. I realise that I’m possibly being facetious inside my last few sentences, but it’s scary to note the amount of reasonably intelligent individuals who will believe anything that’s developed in print by a so-called ‘expert’.
After I began providing suggestions to people via my website, I incorporated a ‘Banker Section’ weekly. Now, the concept of this section ended up being to suggest that, having done hours of research and analysis on various games, I really couldn’t see every other outcome than, for example, a house win. In case a game through the Banker Section resulted in a shock outcome, I’d suffer as both a tipster along with a punter. It effectively made my tipping skills seem incompetent to a few my members, not forgetting I’d likewise have personally experienced a sizable bet on the game. Two games still stick within my mind and carry back uncomfortable memories.
April 10 2010, Scottish Cup: Glasgow Celtic – 2 Ross County.
Premier League giants Celtic were unceremoniously dumped from the cup by First Division side Ross County, completing one of the biggest upsets in Scottish football history. Many soccer accumulator or multi-bets were subsequently torn up in disgust by outraged punters.
February 21 2010, Dutch League: PSV Eindhoven 1 – 1 Sparta Rotterdam.
This game have been priced as little as 1.09 by bookmakers for any home win, such was the ‘certainty’ of the outcome. PSV had won eleven league games in a row in Eindhoven and were facing a Sparta side who had already lost twelve of the away games that season, and who also went on to be relegated. To include insult to injury, Sparta scored their equalizing goal three minutes into buharh time.
Huge upset results like these obviously ruin accumulator bets, but more significantly they highlight the fact that you can never be certain regarding the outcome of a soccer bet.
Shortly afterward I did away using the ‘Banker Section’ of my website and instead I use a ranking system between 1 and 10. The greatest ranking I assign to the selection is 9/10, as 10/10 equates to 100%, and also to predict a football contest with 100% certainty is, as discussed above, not realistic or possible. The more effort and time you put into invaluable research and analysis, the far better chance you have of choosing a winner. There is certainly, however, no magic formula for predicting huge upsets which happen again and again even within the most unlikely scenarios.